Green Diplomat · AI Policy Radar
https://greendiplomat.com/ai-policy-radar/
Printed 23 October 2026 · Records last verified 4 October 2026
AI Policy Radar
The Radar tracks which climate commitments have crossed into enforceable law: classified by legal stage, jurisdiction by jurisdiction, with every record checked against the document it cites.
31 instruments
25 jurisdictions
27 in force
Select a country on the map, or filter by legal stage. Each row opens the record, its legal reference and its source.
Records last verified 4 October 2026
Regions group the records geographically, to make them easier to browse. They are not political or negotiating groups, and the counts show only the instruments the Radar tracks, not all climate legislation in a region.
5 instruments · 4 jurisdictions
10 instruments · 7 jurisdictions
11 instruments · 10 jurisdictions
3 instruments · 2 jurisdictions
2 instruments · 2 jurisdictions
1.9 years: the median time from first proposal to entry into force, across 7 instruments where both dates are documented.
Three levels, from the bottom: tabled; adopted, not yet binding; binding. A square marks a documented step up, an open circle a later step, a gold tick a reversal. Legal stage only: the line does not measure ambition, quality or effect. Sorted by the date each instrument first became binding, on one time axis. How to read a stage trace
Documented steps only. Open a record for each step and the source it was checked against.
Each dot is a dated milestone checked against a public source; open a record to see the sources. Where a source gives only a year or a month, the dot sits mid-year or mid-month.
The next steps each record’s source gives a date for, then the decisions with no date announced yet. Scheduled: a law, decree or official calendar sets the date. Expected: the date is planned, targeted or reported, and may slip.
Add the dates to your calendar (.ics)Follow updates (RSS)What moved, month by month
54 shown
Scheduled
Expected
Brazil Brazilian Greenhouse Gas Emissions Trading System (SBCE)
Final sector coverage, and the remaining secondary regulations under Law 15,042/2024, targeted by the end of 2026
As stated by icapcarbonaction.com
Expected
Canada Federal Output-Based Pricing System (OBPS)
Updated federal benchmark, which the government said it would publish later in 2026
As stated by icapcarbonaction.com
Scheduled
Scheduled
Colombia National Carbon Tax (Impuesto Nacional al Carbono)
PNCTE pilot phase begins, running to December 2029 (Decree 0969)
As stated by icapcarbonaction.com
Expected
California (United States) California Cap-and-Invest Program (formerly Cap-and-Trade)
Linked market with Washington begins operating, as the three jurisdictions expect
As stated by icapcarbonaction.com
Expected
China China National Emissions Trading System
National ETS to cover all major industrial emitters
As stated by icapcarbonaction.com
Expected
China China National Emissions Trading System
Absolute caps begin for sectors with stable emissions
As stated by icapcarbonaction.com
Scheduled
RGGI participating states (United States) Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI)
First year of the lower regional cap set by the 2025 Model Rule
As stated by icapcarbonaction.com
Expected
Thailand Draft Climate Change Act
The Act enters into force, as ICAP anticipates
As stated by icapcarbonaction.com
Expected
Thailand Draft Climate Change Act
Data collection period, planned for 2027 and 2028, before the covered sectors are identified
As stated by icapcarbonaction.com
Expected
Washington (United States) Washington Cap-and-Invest Program (Climate Commitment Act)
Shared market with California and Québec begins operating, once the remaining steps are complete
As stated by ecology.wa.gov
Scheduled
Japan Japan GX Emissions Trading System (GX-ETS) — mandatory phase
GX surcharge on fossil fuel importers and domestic extractors begins (fiscal year 2028)
As stated by icapcarbonaction.com
Expected
United Kingdom UK Emissions Trading Scheme (UK ETS)
Waste incineration and energy-from-waste facilities enter the scheme, after a monitoring-only period from 2026
As stated by icapcarbonaction.com
Expected
Thailand Draft Climate Change Act
Possible launch of a pilot emissions trading system
As stated by icapcarbonaction.com
Expected
United Kingdom UK Emissions Trading Scheme (UK ETS)
Engineered greenhouse gas removals enter the scheme, subject to legislation
As stated by icapcarbonaction.com
Expected
Viet Nam Viet Nam Emissions Trading System (pilot phase)
Gradual introduction of allowance auctioning and wider sector coverage
As stated by icapcarbonaction.com
Scheduled
Colombia National Carbon Tax (Impuesto Nacional al Carbono)
PNCTE fully operational phase begins (Decree 0969)
As stated by icapcarbonaction.com
Expected
China China National Emissions Trading System
Cap-and-trade system combining free allocation and auctioning
As stated by icapcarbonaction.com
Expected
Singapore Carbon Tax (Carbon Pricing Act 2018)
Carbon tax at S$50–80 per tonne, the level the government aims to reach by 2030
As stated by nccs.gov.sg
Scheduled
Republic of Korea Framework Act on Carbon Neutrality and Green Growth for Coping with Climate Crisis
Deadline to fix the lower and upper limits of the 2040 reduction target (Act No. 21893, Supplementary Provisions, Article 2)
As stated by law.go.kr
Expected
Brazil Brazilian Greenhouse Gas Emissions Trading System (SBCE)
Full operation of the system
As stated by icapcarbonaction.com
Scheduled
Japan Japan GX Emissions Trading System (GX-ETS) — mandatory phase
Auctioning of allowances begins for high-emitting power companies (fiscal year 2033)
As stated by icapcarbonaction.com
Scheduled
Republic of Korea Framework Act on Carbon Neutrality and Green Growth for Coping with Climate Crisis
Deadline to fix the lower and upper limits of the 2045 reduction target (Act No. 21893, Supplementary Provisions, Article 2)
As stated by law.go.kr
Decisions, rules and reviews that the sources name without a date.
Argentina Tax on Carbon Dioxide (Impuesto al Dióxido de Carbono)
The annual inflation updates of the tax amounts and the executive decrees that set the applicable amounts, and any reform of fuel taxation ahead of the 2035 end date.
Australia Safeguard Mechanism (reformed 2023)
The review of the mechanism's policy settings by the Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water in 2026–27.
California (United States) California Cap-and-Invest Program (formerly Cap-and-Trade)
Linkage with Washington's program under the agreement signed on 25 June 2026, which requires positive linkage findings by the Governor and a CARB rulemaking.
Canada Canadian Net-Zero Emissions Accountability Act
Progress and assessment reporting against the 2030 target, the emissions reduction plan for 2035, and the setting of the 2040 target ten years ahead of that milestone.
Canada Federal Output-Based Pricing System (OBPS)
Consultation on amendments to the OBPS Regulations, and the Canada–Alberta implementation agreement of 15 May 2026, which recognises Alberta's TIER price trajectory as matching the federal one.
Chile Framework Law on Climate Change (Law No. 21,455)
Updates of the Long-Term Climate Strategy that assign budgets for later periods, adoption and review of sectoral plans and implementing regulations, and the five-yearly evaluation of the neutrality goal.
China China National Emissions Trading System
Implementation of the guidelines issued on 25 August 2025 by the General Offices of the CPC Central Committee and the State Council.
Colombia National Carbon Tax (Impuesto Nacional al Carbono)
Decree 0969 of 4 August 2026 formalised a national tradable emission allowance programme (PNCTE); the carbon tax rate is to serve as the floor price for allowance auctions. Sector coverage and thresholds for the programme have not yet been specified.
India Indian Carbon Credit Trading Scheme (CCTS) — compliance mechanism
The launch of Carbon Credit Certificate trading on power exchanges, for which no official start date had been published as of October 2026; notification of targets for the remaining sectors (iron and steel); and the first compliance cycle for 2025–26.
Indonesia Economic Value of Carbon (NEK) Trading Scheme — power sector ETS
Implementing regulations under Presidential Regulation No. 110/2025, resumption of allocation for Phase 2, and the operation of the carbon levy backstop.
Japan Japan GX Emissions Trading System (GX-ETS) — mandatory phase
Publication of baselines and allocation rules, and the first compliance cycle for FY2026 emissions.
Kazakhstan Kazakhstan Emissions Trading System (KAZ ETS)
Final adoption of the Phase 6 national allocation plan, the introduction of auctioning, and installation-level allocations within the 2026–2030 carbon budget.
Kenya Climate Change Act — Regulation of Carbon Markets (Climate Change (Amendment) Act, 2023)
Authorisations under bilateral Article 6 agreements, the operation of the national carbon registry, and the application of benefit-sharing rules to carbon projects.
Mexico Mexican Emissions Trading System (pilot program)
Publication of the definitive operational-phase rules. In September 2026 Semarnat's Director General of Climate Action Policies said the rules would be issued by early 2027, introducing economically enforceable obligations, allowance auctions and stronger monitoring.
New Zealand New Zealand Emissions Trading Scheme (NZ ETS)
2026 auction settings (reserve price NZD 71; first cost containment reserve trigger NZD 201) and changes announced in late 2025 to reduce compliance costs and to remove the requirement for unit supply settings to accord with the Nationally Determined Contribution.
Nigeria Climate Change Act, 2021
Approval and publication of the five-year carbon budget and action plan, and the development of domestic carbon pricing instruments under the 2025 policy.
RGGI participating states (United States) Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI)
Adoption of the 2025 Model Rule in state regulations, and Virginia's participation in regional auctions.
Republic of Korea Framework Act on Carbon Neutrality and Green Growth for Coping with Climate Crisis
Subordinate regulations implementing the amendment, passed together with a new Climate Adaptation Act.
Republic of Korea Korea Emissions Trading Scheme (K-ETS)
The operation of the K-MSR and the higher auction share during Phase 4, and annual allocation decisions within the Phase 4 cap.
Singapore Carbon Tax (Carbon Pricing Act 2018)
The treatment of international carbon credits and transition allowances in later rate periods.
South Africa Carbon Tax (Carbon Tax Act, 2019)
Rate adjustments in future budgets, the treatment of tax-free allowances, and how the tax operates alongside the company carbon budgets provided for in the Climate Change Act 22 of 2024.
South Africa Climate Change Act 22 of 2024
Proclamation of the deferred provisions, including those on sectoral emissions targets, publication of the targets, and the allocation of carbon budgets to significant emitters.
Switzerland CO2 Levy on Thermal Fuels (CO2 Act)
Implementation of the revised CO2 Act, including exemption arrangements for companies and the use of levy revenue.
Thailand Draft Climate Change Act
Submission to Parliament, passage and publication in the Royal Gazette. Thailand has run a voluntary ETS (Thailand V-ETS) since 2013.
Tunisia National carbon pricing instrument (none in place)
Whether a carbon tax proposal emerges from the DGELF feasibility work in a future finance law. A tabled bill or finance-law article would move this record to the 'proposed' stage.
United Arab Emirates Federal Decree-Law No. 11 of 2024 on the Reduction of Climate Change Effects
Implementing resolutions and MOCCAE reporting methodologies, the operation of the National Carbon Credit Registry, and Cabinet-set sectoral reduction targets.
United Kingdom Climate Change Act 2008 — 2050 net zero target
The policies the government sets out to meet the newly legislated 2038–2042 budget, and the independent progress assessments of the Climate Change Committee.
United Kingdom UK Emissions Trading Scheme (UK ETS)
The post-2030 cap trajectory for the second phase (2031–2040), the next major design decision.
Viet Nam Viet Nam Emissions Trading System (pilot phase)
The first surrender of allowances for 2025 emissions, and trading activity on the exchange.
Washington (United States) Washington Cap-and-Invest Program (Climate Commitment Act)
California and Québec's remaining steps before the linked market begins: positive linkage findings by California's Governor and a CARB rulemaking; in Québec a rulemaking, approval of the agreement by the National Assembly and ratification.
Nothing to watch for this choice.
For 3 countries so far: the latest NDC on the UNFCCC registry, and where its 2035 target and the net-zero target are written in law. Each entry quotes its sources and is dated. How entries are classified
| Jurisdiction | Latest NDC | 2035 target | Net-zero target | Checked |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | 2035 NDCsubmitted | Set under a statutory processsection 7(1) and 7(4)(a) | 2050 In statutesection 6 | |
| Republic of Korea | 2035 NDCsubmitted | In statuteArticle 8(4), as amended by Act No. 21893 | 2050 In statuteArticle 7(1) | |
| United Kingdom | 2035 NDCsubmitted | Not yet assessed | 2050 In statutesection 1(1) |
Download the ledger: pledges.csv · pledges.json
Choose up to three countries to see their instruments side by side.
31 shown
| Brazil | Brazilian Greenhouse Gas Emissions Trading System (SBCE)International Carbon Action Partnership (ICAP) | In rulemaking |
| California (United States) | California Cap-and-Invest Program (formerly Cap-and-Trade)International Carbon Action Partnership (ICAP) | In force |
| Canada | Canadian Net-Zero Emissions Accountability ActJustice Laws Website (Government of Canada) | In force |
| Singapore | Carbon Tax (Carbon Pricing Act 2018)National Climate Change Secretariat (NCCS), Singapore | In force |
| South Africa | Carbon Tax (Carbon Tax Act, 2019)National Treasury, Republic of South Africa — 2026 Budget Review, Chapter 4 | In force |
| China | China National Emissions Trading SystemInternational Carbon Action Partnership (ICAP) | In force |
| Kenya | Climate Change Act — Regulation of Carbon Markets (Climate Change (Amendment) Act, 2023)Kenya Law — Climate Change Act, Cap. 387A, consolidated as at 15 September 2023 (FAOLEX copy) | In force |
| United Kingdom | Climate Change Act 2008 — 2050 net zero targetlegislation.gov.uk (The National Archives) | In force |
| South Africa | Climate Change Act 22 of 2024South African Government (gov.za) — Minister's statement on proclamation, 17 March 2025 | In force |
| Nigeria | Climate Change Act, 2021Grantham Research Institute — Climate Change Laws of the World | In force |
| Switzerland | CO2 Levy on Thermal Fuels (CO2 Act)Federal Office for the Environment (FOEN/BAFU) | In force |
| Thailand | Draft Climate Change ActDepartment of Climate Change and Environment (DCCE), Thailand | Proposed / announced |
| Indonesia | Economic Value of Carbon (NEK) Trading Scheme — power sector ETSInternational Carbon Action Partnership (ICAP) | In force |
| United Arab Emirates | Federal Decree-Law No. 11 of 2024 on the Reduction of Climate Change EffectsGrantham Research Institute — Climate Change Laws of the World | In force |
| Canada | Federal Output-Based Pricing System (OBPS)International Carbon Action Partnership (ICAP) | In force |
| Republic of Korea | Framework Act on Carbon Neutrality and Green Growth for Coping with Climate CrisisMinistry of Climate, Energy and Environment, Republic of Korea (press release, 26 Aug 2026) | In force |
| Chile | Framework Law on Climate Change (Law No. 21,455)Biblioteca del Congreso Nacional de Chile — official text of Law No. 21,455 (digitally signed copy) | In force |
| India | Indian Carbon Credit Trading Scheme (CCTS) — compliance mechanismInternational Carbon Action Partnership (ICAP) | In force |
| Japan | Japan GX Emissions Trading System (GX-ETS) — mandatory phaseInternational Carbon Action Partnership (ICAP) | In force |
| Kazakhstan | Kazakhstan Emissions Trading System (KAZ ETS)International Carbon Action Partnership (ICAP) | In force |
| Republic of Korea | Korea Emissions Trading Scheme (K-ETS)International Carbon Action Partnership (ICAP) | In force |
| Mexico | Mexican Emissions Trading System (pilot program)International Carbon Action Partnership (ICAP) | In rulemaking |
| Tunisia | National carbon pricing instrument (none in place)Agence Nationale pour la Maîtrise de l'Énergie (ANME) | No binding instrument |
| Colombia | National Carbon Tax (Impuesto Nacional al Carbono)Dirección de Impuestos y Aduanas Nacionales (DIAN) — Resolución 000003 de 2026 | In force |
| New Zealand | New Zealand Emissions Trading Scheme (NZ ETS)International Carbon Action Partnership (ICAP) | In force |
| RGGI participating states (United States) | Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI)Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative, Inc. | In force |
| Australia | Safeguard Mechanism (reformed 2023)Clean Energy Regulator (Australian Government) | In force |
| Argentina | Tax on Carbon Dioxide (Impuesto al Dióxido de Carbono)InfoLEG — Ministerio de Justicia, Argentina (Ley 23.966, texto actualizado) | In force |
| United Kingdom | UK Emissions Trading Scheme (UK ETS)International Carbon Action Partnership (ICAP) | In force |
| Viet Nam | Viet Nam Emissions Trading System (pilot phase)International Carbon Action Partnership (ICAP) | In force |
| Washington (United States) | Washington Cap-and-Invest Program (Climate Commitment Act)Washington State Department of Ecology | In force |
No record matches. The Radar adds an instrument only when it can be checked against a public source.
Ask the Radar
Ask about any jurisdiction or instrument in the tracked set. Every answer is built from records that cite their source, and lists them so you can check it.
Answers are built from the Radar’s records, each with the source it was checked against. Not legal advice.
Self-test
Five instruments from the Radar, drawn at random. Guess the year each one started to bind, then see the answer with its source. A quick way to feel how long the road from announcement to statute really is.
Self-test
5 instruments from the Radar, picked at random from 27 verified records. Slide to the year you think each one started to bind: 100 points for the exact year, 10 fewer for every year off.
Method
Pledges, targets and dashboards multiply, but few say, with a source, whether a commitment is enforceable law today. The Radar answers that question and shows how it knows.
Every instrument is placed on the path from tabled proposal to operating statute, so you can see whether it actually binds yet.
Each record links the document it was checked against and states when it was last verified. A record you can cite, and check.
No agenda and no padding: depth and defensibility over coverage. Records are added only when they can be sourced.
Legal stages
Proposed
A bill, decree or plan has been tabled or announced, but no binding text has been adopted.
In rulemaking
The enabling law is adopted, but the regulations that create obligations are still being drafted, or a pilot phase is not yet binding.
Enacted
The instrument is law, but its obligations start at a later date.
In force
Covered entities are under legally binding obligations today.
Open data
Every record is free to download as CSV or JSON under an open licence, with a key-free API, a feed of every change and a live map you can embed on your own site.
How to read this
The Radar is a deliberately small, open tracker. Every record is published with the source it was checked against and the date of that check. A record describes the legal position as shown by its source on that date; legislation moves, so always confirm against the primary text before relying on it.
Records are an educational summary. They are not legal advice and are not intended for compliance purposes. Boundaries and names on the map are based on the public-domain Natural Earth basemap and do not imply endorsement or acceptance by Green Diplomat. Read our standards and methodology.
Briefings
Request a short written briefing: the instruments that apply, the dates that matter and the questions still open, cited line by line to public sources.
Radar data: CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
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