Green Diplomat · Climate Data Hub
https://greendiplomat.com/data-hub/warming-projections/
Printed 25 October 2026 · Last updated on this site 15 October 2026
Dataset
Projected global warming this century under current policies and with full implementation of pledges, from the UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2025.
| Scenario | Warming (°C) |
|---|---|
| Current policies | 2.8 |
| Unconditional NDCs | 2.5 |
| Conditional NDCs | 2.3 |
| Conditional NDCs + net-zero pledges | 1.9 |
Source: UNEP, Emissions Gap Report 2025 · November 2025 · Unit: °C
Cite as UNEP, Emissions Gap Report 2025 (2025). Projected warming this century. Charted by Green Diplomat, Climate Data Hub. https://greendiplomat.com/data-hub/warming-projections/ (accessed 25 October 2026).
Figures © UNEP, Emissions Gap Report 2025; see the publisher’s terms at unep.org.
Not legal advice. Check the live page at https://greendiplomat.com/data-hub/warming-projections/.