Dataset
Projected warming this century
Projected global warming this century under current policies and with full implementation of pledges, from the UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2025.
2.8°Cprojected under current policies
| Scenario | Warming (°C) |
|---|---|
| Current policies | 2.8 |
| Unconditional NDCs | 2.5 |
| Conditional NDCs | 2.3 |
| Conditional NDCs + net-zero pledges | 1.9 |
Source: UNEP, Emissions Gap Report 2025 (as reported by Carbon Brief) · November 2025 · Unit: °C