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Dataset

Projected warming this century

Projected global warming this century under current policies and with full implementation of pledges, from the UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2025.

2.8°Cprojected under current policies
Current policies2.8°C
Unconditional NDCs2.5°C
Conditional NDCs2.3°C
Conditional NDCs + net-zero pledges1.9°C

Source: UNEP, Emissions Gap Report 2025 (as reported by Carbon Brief) · November 2025 · Unit: °C